return2ozma@lemmy.world to News@lemmy.world · 1 month agoKamala Harris Wipes Out Trump’s Swing-State Lead in Election Dead Heatwww.bloomberg.comexternal-linkmessage-square98fedilinkarrow-up1649arrow-down118file-text
arrow-up1631arrow-down1external-linkKamala Harris Wipes Out Trump’s Swing-State Lead in Election Dead Heatwww.bloomberg.comreturn2ozma@lemmy.world to News@lemmy.world · 1 month agomessage-square98fedilinkfile-text
minus-squarebigpEE@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkarrow-up13·1 month agoSounds like you’re thinking of 538’s election needle, not polling data. If a candidate has 60% of the votes in a poll, assuming the poll is accurate, they win 100% of the time. The standard deviation on a population this big is practically 0
minus-squareNull User Object@programming.devlinkfedilinkarrow-up2arrow-down2·1 month agoThat could be. It was 8 years ago and I was very upset. Still haven’t recovered.
Sounds like you’re thinking of 538’s election needle, not polling data. If a candidate has 60% of the votes in a poll, assuming the poll is accurate, they win 100% of the time. The standard deviation on a population this big is practically 0
That could be. It was 8 years ago and I was very upset. Still haven’t recovered.