I don’t want to go into specific predictions because there are too many. But generally, scientists are very conservative with their predictions, because they don’t want to lose grants. It’s safe to hide behind numbers and give low estimates.
I hear what you’re saying, but I think the real problem is the policy makers, who are without doubt choosing to use the least scary predictions, and pushing even those targets back when they fail to achieve them.
I don’t want to go into specific predictions because there are too many. But generally, scientists are very conservative with their predictions, because they don’t want to lose grants. It’s safe to hide behind numbers and give low estimates.
I hear what you’re saying, but I think the real problem is the policy makers, who are without doubt choosing to use the least scary predictions, and pushing even those targets back when they fail to achieve them.