cross-posted from: https://hexbear.net/post/5417645

Snip:

The pre-print of a new study led by Prof. Michael Spagat of Royal Holloway, University of London, and Palestinian political scientist Dr. Khalil Shikaki has revealed that Gaza’s death toll from the ongoing conflict could be nearly 100,000, a figure significantly higher than official reports, Haaretz reported on 26 June.

The Gaza Mortality Survey (GMS), the most comprehensive to date, estimates around 75,200 violent deaths between October 2023 and January 2025—nearly 40 percent higher than the Gaza Health Ministry’s reported death toll of 45,660 at the time.

Researchers carried out a detailed household survey, interviewing 2,000 families—around 9,700 individuals—to independently evaluate fatalities.

The study estimated 8,540 additional non-violent deaths through January, bringing the combined fatality count for that period to 83,740. Gaza’s Health Ministry has recorded over 10,000 more deaths since then, raising the current total to nearly 100,000 Palestinians killed by Israeli forces.

  • PhilipTheBucketA
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    1 day ago
    • The number is a lot higher than 100,000. The Lancet estimated 186,000 as a conservative lower bound almost exactly a year ago.
    • The Health Ministry never said the number was 45,660. They said the number of specifically named and identified people they could count up and prove were dead was 45,660. Implicit in that was that the true number was much, much higher, but of course the worldwide press will misconstrue everything they have to say, so they had to limit it to deaths that were absolutely ironclad and provable (not that it stopped people from claiming they were lying.)
    • A lot of people have died since January 2025. That was before the starvation really set in.
    • Counting up the people who directly died by violence is going to miss a ton of dead people.
    • It’s not a “war.” As this whole analysis should make clear to anyone who’s looking at it honestly. Calling it a “war,” framing things in terms of “how many women and children have been killed in this war, which is inappropriate conduct in the course of fighting a war, they shouldn’t be doing that while they fight their war” is absolutely and completely missing the point of what is happening.