Let me introduce you to group known as the ‘Obama-Obama-Trump’ voters.
Confusing on the face of it no? How can someone vote for Barack twice, and then pull the lever for Trump? And the map is not clear either; counties in New England, the Rust Belt, southwest, and northeast. All over the country, red and blue states. So what happened?
These 206 counties cast 7.5 million votes in 2016, which accounts for 5.5 percent of all votes cast in the election.
Between 2012 and 2016, the Democratic popular vote margin declined by 2.1 million votes. Even though these 206 counties make up only 5 percent of the total votes cast, they accounted for 51 percent of that decline.
Low propensity voters, now disillusioned with politics. These are the people who got sold a vision of hope and change after the Great Recession in 2007-2008, and while yes things changed, not in a fundamental way. They still drive on crumbling roads to take their kids to the same underfunded schools. Still watch their taxes fund overseas wars, for nebulous ‘foreign policy’ reasons that aren’t clear. Still paying out the ass for their dialysis care. Watching standards of living regress around them, knowing their kids will be worse off regardless of a college degree.
You see, there’s a part 3 that you’re forgetting that needs to happen, otherwise another opportunist grifter can slide in with false promises and spam-abuse the populism cheat code:
Deliver results for the people who voted for you - or don’t be in power when it goes bad
Obama had a majority for 2 years. And he got through major healthcare reform. Part 3 accomplished. His reward? To lose the majority for the next 6 years and the gop blocking everything. Part 3 was accomplished and the voters did not turn out.
So we’re back to asking, what’s the solution? 1. Vote for Dems and give them majorities.
The tragedy here is that so many people are uniformed and think he had 8 effective years when he only had 2.
I feel you’re missing the point I’m making; Obama did have legislative victories yes. Did usher in an economic recovery from the precipice and a (relatively) speaking soft landing. But what fundamentally changed in healthcare? Especially for the low propensity and/or information voter? Nothing from their perspective, unfortunately. The reality delivered did not match the marketing, and though childish and petulant the reaction may be because of real issues like thin majorities or constitutional limits on power, that is the perception. And that is all that matters.
I don’t see Trump’s rise as being caused by his unique policy stances, white nativism, or better electoral strategy than the Democrats. He’s mediocre-to-awful, but has no institutional fealty or cogent ideology which is what makes him uniquely suited to the current populist vibe. Trump is a bomb that voters sent to blow up the established order in Washington, and in 2016 they got what they asked for. The palace coup that is MAGA, ate the Republican Party from the inside out, within a single four year cycle. Now you’re seeing the base souring on him as his second term has has been co-opted by capital and power structures, and is abandoning the ‘maverick outsider’ policies like “no new wars” or “I want to sell off the national parks to foreign nations”.
Lots of people benefited. Your own step 3 was completed. That’s basically all there was to it. And Obama’s reward was to lose congress for the next 6 years. I’ve already said it all.
Ahh. “Why don’t these ingrates appreciate what they’re given?” cool, keep blaming voters. Your 1-2-E-Z electoral strategy has no issues with circular reasoning, yesss no reason to develop further
Their universal suffrage will keep ignoring your demands for loyalty. Voting is transactional. Give them what they asked for. Or don’t I guess…? The Whig party refused to change too, and look how they turned out
What’s fascinating here is that you rely on completely ignoring that your own step 3 was accomplished. They delivered. But you can’t acknowledge that because it undermines your point. Their delivery (yes) is rewarded with them losing majority.
If the voter wants even more then, drumroll please, they need to give Dems consistent and overwhelming victories. Not 4 years of majority out of the last 24 years and then wonder why progress is so slow. That’s 2 years under Obama and 2 years under Biden. That’s it. If you want to include Bill Clinton then it’s 6 years of the last 32 years. Go back further and it’s 6 years out of the last 44 years that Dems have had all 3 houses. That’s what they need to pass things. Do the math yourself, that’s it. Think about about that.
You may continue ignoring that Dems deliver and your step 3 was accomplished. Ciao.
Confusing on the face of it no? How can someone vote for Barack twice, and then pull the lever for Trump? And the map is not clear either; counties in New England, the Rust Belt, southwest, and northeast. All over the country, red and blue states. So what happened?
Low propensity voters, now disillusioned with politics. These are the people who got sold a vision of hope and change after the Great Recession in 2007-2008, and while yes things changed, not in a fundamental way. They still drive on crumbling roads to take their kids to the same underfunded schools. Still watch their taxes fund overseas wars, for nebulous ‘foreign policy’ reasons that aren’t clear. Still paying out the ass for their dialysis care. Watching standards of living regress around them, knowing their kids will be worse off regardless of a college degree.
You see, there’s a part 3 that you’re forgetting that needs to happen, otherwise another opportunist grifter can slide in with false promises and spam-abuse the populism cheat code:
Obama had a majority for 2 years. And he got through major healthcare reform. Part 3 accomplished. His reward? To lose the majority for the next 6 years and the gop blocking everything. Part 3 was accomplished and the voters did not turn out.
So we’re back to asking, what’s the solution? 1. Vote for Dems and give them majorities.
The tragedy here is that so many people are uniformed and think he had 8 effective years when he only had 2.
I feel you’re missing the point I’m making; Obama did have legislative victories yes. Did usher in an economic recovery from the precipice and a (relatively) speaking soft landing. But what fundamentally changed in healthcare? Especially for the low propensity and/or information voter? Nothing from their perspective, unfortunately. The reality delivered did not match the marketing, and though childish and petulant the reaction may be because of real issues like thin majorities or constitutional limits on power, that is the perception. And that is all that matters.
I don’t see Trump’s rise as being caused by his unique policy stances, white nativism, or better electoral strategy than the Democrats. He’s mediocre-to-awful, but has no institutional fealty or cogent ideology which is what makes him uniquely suited to the current populist vibe. Trump is a bomb that voters sent to blow up the established order in Washington, and in 2016 they got what they asked for. The palace coup that is MAGA, ate the Republican Party from the inside out, within a single four year cycle. Now you’re seeing the base souring on him as his second term has has been co-opted by capital and power structures, and is abandoning the ‘maverick outsider’ policies like “no new wars” or “I want to sell off the national parks to foreign nations”.
Sounds like a “n n not good enough” response.
Lots of people benefited. Your own step 3 was completed. That’s basically all there was to it. And Obama’s reward was to lose congress for the next 6 years. I’ve already said it all.
Ahh. “Why don’t these ingrates appreciate what they’re given?” cool, keep blaming voters. Your 1-2-E-Z electoral strategy has no issues with circular reasoning, yesss no reason to develop further
Their universal suffrage will keep ignoring your demands for loyalty. Voting is transactional. Give them what they asked for. Or don’t I guess…? The Whig party refused to change too, and look how they turned out
What’s fascinating here is that you rely on completely ignoring that your own step 3 was accomplished. They delivered. But you can’t acknowledge that because it undermines your point. Their delivery (yes) is rewarded with them losing majority.
If the voter wants even more then, drumroll please, they need to give Dems consistent and overwhelming victories. Not 4 years of majority out of the last 24 years and then wonder why progress is so slow. That’s 2 years under Obama and 2 years under Biden. That’s it. If you want to include Bill Clinton then it’s 6 years of the last 32 years. Go back further and it’s 6 years out of the last 44 years that Dems have had all 3 houses. That’s what they need to pass things. Do the math yourself, that’s it. Think about about that.
You may continue ignoring that Dems deliver and your step 3 was accomplished. Ciao.