• jordanlund@lemmy.worldM
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    2 months ago

    “The bottom line: Don’t underestimate how badly some Democrats simply want a ticket that can win in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. Win those, and Democrats likely win the presidency. Lose them, they’re toast.”

    Democrats can’t lose ANY of them. A Trump win in ANY throws him the election. Biden has to go 3 for 3 to win.

    Here’s a likely map:

    Right now he’s down in PA and WI and MI is a tossup.

      • jordanlund@lemmy.worldM
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        2 months ago

        Not that they have less value, it’s that they have an expected value.

        The entire west coast votes Democratic, that’s just a given.

        The entire south votes Republican, that’s also a given.

        So it comes down to the persuadable states.

        • Nollij@sopuli.xyz
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          2 months ago

          Georgia would beg to differ. They went blue last time, and are at a dead heat.

          Florida would like you to wrestle gator before you can vote, just for the chaos.

          • jordanlund@lemmy.worldM
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            2 months ago

            Georgia was an aberration last time. The only reason they went blue was because of increased vote by mail making voting more accessible, that’s not in the cards this time.

            Currently Trump +3 over Biden and +10 over Harris.

      • billwashere@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        Well the population density in those areas is so low. And yet they still get two senators.