No. I have all different types of crimes. I just didn’t want to paste it all in here but they all follow the same pattern. And that’s why I went over the last 15 years of crime and not just now. The trends show that after 2015 things started to trend upward from larceny and thrift to homicide. I’m definitely going over averages because what else would I do? There’d be no point to going in and looking at individual municipalities. I think the average is to a pretty good job of explaining that defunding slave catchers didn’t really put a dent in the crime levels that the slave catchers would want you to believe.
The trends show that after 2015 things started to trend upward from larceny and thrift to homicide.
Yes, but why would you assume that has anything to do with police reform? It was infinitesimal before 2020 anyway, and once it started even to a small degree, it would have been mixed in with so many confounding factors that I’m not sure how much you could even get out of the analysis without a lot more detail and number-crunching. I would suspect that most of the trends you’re seeing throughout the entire time reflect underlying things in society and world events, and nothing to do with policing in any respect.
I’m definitely going over averages because what else would I do? There’d be no point to going in and looking at individual municipalities.
Why not? How is looking at the global average better than breaking it down to municipalities that did a lot of police reform, and ones that didn’t, and comparing the trends between the two (during the same time period to reduce the impact of other confounding factors)? That, to me, sounds like the precise exact opposite of “no point to.” That sounds like a better way to do the analysis.
I think the average is to a pretty good job of explaining that defunding slave catchers didn’t really put a dent in the crime levels that the slave catchers would want you to believe.
No. I have all different types of crimes. I just didn’t want to paste it all in here but they all follow the same pattern. And that’s why I went over the last 15 years of crime and not just now. The trends show that after 2015 things started to trend upward from larceny and thrift to homicide. I’m definitely going over averages because what else would I do? There’d be no point to going in and looking at individual municipalities. I think the average is to a pretty good job of explaining that defunding slave catchers didn’t really put a dent in the crime levels that the slave catchers would want you to believe.
Yes, but why would you assume that has anything to do with police reform? It was infinitesimal before 2020 anyway, and once it started even to a small degree, it would have been mixed in with so many confounding factors that I’m not sure how much you could even get out of the analysis without a lot more detail and number-crunching. I would suspect that most of the trends you’re seeing throughout the entire time reflect underlying things in society and world events, and nothing to do with policing in any respect.
Why not? How is looking at the global average better than breaking it down to municipalities that did a lot of police reform, and ones that didn’t, and comparing the trends between the two (during the same time period to reduce the impact of other confounding factors)? That, to me, sounds like the precise exact opposite of “no point to.” That sounds like a better way to do the analysis.
Why do you think that?