Digging into the GitLab & related discussions, the main takeaway I got is that FFmpeg’s API supposedly meshes better with what Wine needs to provide to Windows code, simplifying things overall. GST is pretty heavy on asynchronous/background processing, which is normally something I’d consider good for media, but if the API you’re expected to implement is synchronous then I guess it only adds complexity.
That already happens constantly and I’d consider this the consequence of it, rather than the cause. You can only issue so many vetoes before people no longer want to deal with you and would rather move on.
The recent week of Wayland news (including the proposal from a few hours ago to restate NACK policies) is starting to feel like the final attempt to right things before a hard fork of Wayland. I’ve been following wayland-protocols/devel/etc from the outside for a year or two and the vibes have been trending that way for a while.