Also, I acknowledge this is speculation, but I would guess that a significant portion of the undecided people in those polls are conservatives who can’t stomach Trump and will never vote democrat. So it’s almost certainly more than 40% imo.
Also, I acknowledge this is speculation, but I would guess that a significant portion of the undecided people in those polls are conservatives who can’t stomach Trump and will never vote democrat. So it’s almost certainly more than 40% imo.
Your data does not logically lead to your conclusion, because the polls cited naturally bifurcated the responses into two (or three) camps.
are you denying that trump supporters would identify as “ conservative“? Also “undecided” is certainly a catch-all option for people who don’t want to vote for Trump or Harris.
It’s like if I did a poll asking: “what is your favorite color, purple or yellow?” and then said this proves that 50% of respondents’ favorite color is purple. We are discounting the opinions of orange and green lovers.
sorry but that’s an awful analogy, color preference does not follow a rough spectrum as political ideology does. And again, in your analogy, the orange and green lovers could have chosen undecided.
If you have better data, by all means show it. The polls I linked are certainly more accurate than the person above citing the 2020 election and that only 22% of the US voted for Trump. That is a wildly misleading representation of US demographics.
sounds like I had the exact same conversation with this person not long ago.
per 538, the last two polls of “adults” (not likely voters or registered voters) showed trump support around 40%. And Harris’ lead in those polls is basically the same as with likely voters and registered voters, around +3-4.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/?ex_cid=abcpromo
edit:
Also this gallup poll says 30% of people identify as Republican, and 40% as independent, with 46% of independents leaning Republican. So “almost half” as the top comment said.
https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/Party-Affiliation.aspx
edit 2: for whoever downvoted, I would love to hear why. the person above asked for a source that says “Almost half the country is right wing”, and I provided multiple.
we know this, thanks.
I hope she leans into it for halloween.
yeah this is definitely a case of anti-clickbait. the stuff in the article is so much worse than the headline.
This isn’t new policy though.
it’s not a new ‘policy’ but Dobbs v. Jackson is definitely a new result. Their decades long plan of stacking the courts is finally paying off for them.
agreed, and this is not unique to the US. Europe and UK are struggling with it as well.
“Hitler should have finished the job” and “babies born with any deformities or disabilities should be shot in the forehead.”
who wants to be murdering babies again?
i’m shocked he even agreed to do that one.
and something magical happened.
honestly he probably didn’t drive even before being president. having a chauffeur is a status symbol for the ultra wealthy and he has to keep up appearances.
The plan is no plan. tear it all down and let the peasants fend for themselves. MISSION ACCOMPLISHED.
Can we still abort Trump if he visits West Virginia? He is just a big baby after all.
He must be REALLY worried about the childless cat lady vote.
gotta get those childless cat lady votes back.
The queen has named her next head of government.
everyone is overcomplicating this imo. in the context of the last 3.5 years, clearly this is just trump saying democrats will “steal” every future election if he doesn’t win this year.
they did nazi this coming.