These are going to be great for lots of types of workers, especially in nursing and elder care. More broadly, I wonder will there come a day where human workers will need them, to compete with actual robot workers?
It’s a bit off-topic, but I think Gwynne Shotwell is overseeing most of the day-to-day operations at SpaceX by this point.
I would hope so. The Thai Cave Rescue demonstrated to me why that man should never have any decision-making in any engineering project. That he thought a rigid submarine was a solution for bendy caves that even human divers had trouble contorting through was bad enough. That he completely lost his shit when a real engineer pointed out how stupid the idea was is even worse. If those patterns of behavior and decision-making are playing out at the very highest level of America’s Space Program, he is part of the problem not the solution
Given Musk’s record of non-stop bullshi***ng, i’m prepared to believe the worst about any offstage shenanigans making this look more impressive than it was.
The robotaxi and announcements about FSD were deeply disappointing. Just more vague promises about the future. It’s madness to me this man has been allowed have such a senior and pivotal position in America’s Space Program.
Although I’m using AI more and more for writing related tasks, I still find it constantly making simple rudimentary errors of logic. If it is advancing as this research paper claims, why are we still seeing so many of these types of hallucination errors?
Quite apart from the issue of Google as a monopoly, i’ve really noticed a lot of their services going downhill in the last 18 months or so. Search gets steadily worse. But their AI voice transcription services, and grammar and spell checks, are nowhere near as good as free open source alternatives. Not only that, but bizarrely they’ve actually got worse than they used to be, where everywhere else in these fields it’s constant improvement.
I’m trying to keep an open mind about these kind of efforts, though I have suspicions about some of them being green washing. However if solar power becomes ultra cheap in the 2030s, and can power efforts like this, it is possible they may make a significant difference.
I should have been more specific, I was just referring to the storm surge flooded areas.
AR/VR always seems on the cusp of taking off, yet never seems to actually do so.
I’m surprised there isn’t more movement to just completely ban building in these areas. Getting everyone else to cover the cost of their predictable destruction seems very unfair.
I am aware that they have a state insurer in Florida. They are going to need it. I can’t see a single private insurance company wanting to touch anything to do with rebuilding in areas affected by this. They know climate change is getting worse, and this is only going to happen soon again.
There are a few other new heavy lift rockets in development around the world. Some people think Spacex’s Starship will make them obsolete, but it doesn’t seem like it will be ready anytime soon.
If someone can build robotic systems that are entirely made up of 3D printed components, that seems very possible.
Yes, that is true by many dictionary definitions. But does it matter? If this process of recursive self-improvement has truly started. Is there is a scenario where this continuous improvement in the chips is what brings true AI about, and not human design.
I’ve been familiar with his ideas for years, even though intellectually I could see they were true, emotionally I always felt they were science-fiction. Now this is starting to look like science-fact.
Like Covid, it seems humans have to wait until disaster is right on their doorstep, before they pull themselves together to do something about it.
For anyone familiar with the ideas behind what Ray Kurzweil called ‘The Singularity’, this looks awfully like it’s first baby steps.
For those that don’t know, the idea is that when AI gets the ability to improve itself, it will begin to become exponentially more powerful. As each step will make it even better, at designing the next generation of chips to make it more powerful.
The model family is “a new suite of state-of-the-art multimodal models trained solely with next-token prediction,” BAAI writes. “By tokenizing images, text, and videos into a discrete space, we train a single transformer from scratch on a mixture of multimodal sequences”.
Every single time it looks like closed Big Tech AI systems might steal a lead, open source is never far behind snapping at their heels. Now it seems it’s the same story with multi-modal AI.
I’m using it more and more and find it very useful. I do a lot of writing for work, AI voice transcription and AI grammar checks are invaluable, not to mention having an AI voice read my writing back as a form of copy editing.
Also great for visual stuff, and for providing sound for videos.
However the hallucination problem is a real roadblock. I would never want to trust the current models of AI with an important decision.
I think part of this increase may be down to an increased awareness of mental health issues. Mental health problems that were not understood, or ignored in decades past, are much more clearly seen now.
However, it seems undeniable that life has gotten worse across the Western world for younger generations. Economic independence of any kind is impossible without going into soul-crushing debt first. In many ways, it bears similarity to the indentured servitude of the past. Meanwhile, you get lectured by a generation that grew up with free education, cheap rents, and jobs that were easy to get and could support a whole family.
If much of this is caused by economic factors, will the soon-to-be widespread automation of more of the economy make things better or worse? My guess is that in the short term, they will get worse. Until we arrive at what new economic model follows.
Driving jobs are about to disappear to self-driving autonomous vehicles. They were one of the last refuges of the less educated to have a degree of economic independence, especially for less educated young men. The mental health consequences of that category of job disappearing forever may be enormous.