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Cake day: June 14th, 2023


















  • Yikes, you really want to strawman this as hard as you can.

    Not sure what you’re quoting but it ain’t me.

    There is evidence to draw the conclusion that an estimate of 180k dead is plausible. Everything from the length of the war, the documented lack of aid reaching the region, the documented destruction of medical facilities to the The documented destruction of habital areas.

    I understand fully that there are ~40k deaths reported from within. I think it’s entierly plausible that the real number of deaths as an indirect cause of the war are far higher than that. Personally I think it’s more than plausible. I think it’s likely. But I’ll stick with plausible just for you.


  • It is based on evidence.

    Evidence that very little aid is reaching Gaza. Evidence that clean water is difficult to come by. Evidence that 35% of their builds are severely damaged or destroyed. Evidence from previous wars and how the population were affected by similar conditions.

    With those points of data. Qualified people can make estimations of what they think the number of dead might look like.

    But there is no evidence to prove the estimation is correct right until after the war is over.

    What you want to say, is that there’s no proof. Which is correct. There is no proof for the figure. Because again. It’s an estimation. There is a war. We can’t go dig up the bodies just yet