• redsand@lemmy.dbzer0.com
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    30
    arrow-down
    10
    ·
    20 hours ago

    Strangely yes. This jacks up the price of oil in a way that doesn’t dirty Putin’s hands. It’s a bit of a weird play but makes some sense.

    • queermunist she/her@lemmy.ml
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      36
      arrow-down
      3
      ·
      20 hours ago

      Iran is a major trade partner and an important partner in the Ukraine War and they were both important allies of Assad and worked closely together in Syria. They have deep ties. There’s no way the price of oil is worth losing one of their key allies in the region.

      • redsand@lemmy.dbzer0.com
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        7
        arrow-down
        5
        ·
        19 hours ago

        Why not? They have strategic value sure but Russia is nearly bankrupt, Iran for an extra year or two of solvency makes sense to me. Further weakens the US too.

        • queermunist she/her@lemmy.ml
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          14
          arrow-down
          4
          ·
          19 hours ago

          It told you why not! Because Iran is an important regional ally and business partner and military asset.

          Russia sacrificing an ally like this for something as paltry as “gas prices” would be short-sighted in the extreme.

          Although since you seem to think Russia is “nearly bankrupt” and that this only buys them “an extra year or two” that explains why you don’t think this matters.

          • redsand@lemmy.dbzer0.com
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            4
            arrow-down
            8
            ·
            edit-2
            10 hours ago

            Yeah the condescending really explained your point. Import export numbers, critical resources only Iran provides Russia, strategic geographic and political value. You really covered it all in those… 3 sentences formatted as paragraphs. Worthless. Down vote me if you failed econ 1.

            • queermunist she/her@lemmy.ml
              link
              fedilink
              English
              arrow-up
              16
              arrow-down
              2
              ·
              edit-2
              17 hours ago

              Jesus do you want me to write you an essay?

              I will say they just entered a new 20-year bilateral trade and military cooperation treaty on Jan 17th of this year, which is hardly something Russia would do if they were willing to just destroy Iran in a few months. They did this because trade between the countries has risen sharply due to the sanctions against Russia, and that’s not going away any time soon so it would be foolish to sacrifice them at this stage. Then there’s the suspected missiles and drones that Iran has been (possibly) supplying Russia for its war with Ukraine, and blowing them up would disrupt that supply line.

              But if you’re determined to believe Russia wants Iran to be bombed, I won’t be able to stop you.

              • redsand@lemmy.dbzer0.com
                link
                fedilink
                English
                arrow-up
                2
                arrow-down
                3
                ·
                edit-2
                10 hours ago

                You wanna go look at those numbers or you gonna keep bullshitting based on articles you skimmed? Like I’m aware of the trade and the drones. I’m also aware of Russia’s oil exports and their ghost fleet selling to India and others.

                Here’s a list of Russia’s trading partners with numbers. Notice how Iran isn’t even top 10? Do I need to break down what they’re exporting to Germany or do you get it now? And this ignores India BTW.

                https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_the_largest_trading_partners_of_Russia

                Strait of Hormuz shuts and that’s gravy for Russian, especially with the Artic ocean melting. Congrads though, now I think you’re a drop out.

      • Bytemeister@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        4
        arrow-down
        7
        ·
        19 hours ago

        If Iran gets their own nukes, then Russia loses a big bargaining chip.

        Honestly, that’s probably the only reason why nukes weren’t used.

        • queermunist she/her@lemmy.ml
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          15
          arrow-down
          4
          ·
          edit-2
          19 hours ago

          If Iran gets their own nukes, one of Russia’s most important allies in the region is safe from attack. That seems a lot more useful than a “bargaining chip”. Now, Russia risks losing an important ally and whatever bargaining chip they may have had.

          • Bytemeister@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            8
            arrow-down
            7
            ·
            edit-2
            18 hours ago

            You’re reading the play like Russia wants an ally.

            What they want is a dependent.

            • queermunist she/her@lemmy.ml
              link
              fedilink
              English
              arrow-up
              9
              arrow-down
              4
              ·
              18 hours ago

              Only empires can have dependency, Russia isn’t nearly that strong. Russia needs allies or it will be overwhelmed.

              • grue@lemmy.world
                link
                fedilink
                English
                arrow-up
                8
                arrow-down
                3
                ·
                18 hours ago

                But Russia thinks it’s an empire and acts accordingly, reality be damned.

                • queermunist she/her@lemmy.ml
                  link
                  fedilink
                  English
                  arrow-up
                  4
                  arrow-down
                  6
                  ·
                  edit-2
                  17 hours ago

                  Belarus has basically been driven out of the European economy, but that’s hardly something Russia did. If Russia has become an empire and Belarus has lost its sovereignty it’s because Europe decided to force the issue. Bad move, I guess?

                  Or maybe Belarus and Russia are just allies and they’re working together like normal allies do.

                  Either way, comparing this to Iran is absurd! Iran has ten times the population. Plus, China is right there. It wouldn’t work.

                  • torrentialgrain@lemm.ee
                    link
                    fedilink
                    English
                    arrow-up
                    3
                    ·
                    15 hours ago

                    I agree with most of the points you’re raising in this thread but Belarus is definitely a Russian puppet state more so than a conventional ally.

                  • Bytemeister@lemmy.world
                    link
                    fedilink
                    English
                    arrow-up
                    4
                    arrow-down
                    1
                    ·
                    16 hours ago

                    It wouldn’t work.

                    Look at that, it’s working.

                    Plus, China is right there.

                    I think you should look at a map sometime. Unless you are taking about Russia-China relations, but that doesn’t seem to be the context here.

              • belastend@lemmy.dbzer0.com
                link
                fedilink
                English
                arrow-up
                1
                ·
                15 hours ago

                I don’t agree with the guy, but Russia has dependencies both in central Asia and in Europe. Without Russia’s support, the current regimes in Turkmenistan, Belarus and Transnistria would not survive.

                Iran, however, isn’t one, as you said.

            • WoodScientist@sh.itjust.works
              link
              fedilink
              English
              arrow-up
              4
              arrow-down
              4
              ·
              16 hours ago

              Russia is a real country run by actual human beings. They’re not Mordor with a dark lord commanding an army of orcs. And Russia wants allies. They’re up against a vast global US-lead alliance system. Of course they want allies.

              • Bytemeister@lemmy.world
                link
                fedilink
                English
                arrow-up
                3
                arrow-down
                2
                ·
                16 hours ago

                Would have been easy enough for them to be allies with Ukraine, but they didn’t do that, did they?

                No, they want dependents. Allies have a choice. Dependents have an illusion of choice.

    • torrentialgrain@lemm.ee
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      8
      arrow-down
      2
      ·
      edit-2
      16 hours ago

      This is some of the most geopolitically misinformed shit I’ve read in a while, congratulations.

      • redsand@lemmy.dbzer0.com
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        1
        arrow-down
        6
        ·
        11 hours ago

        Great rebuttle. Really drove home your point with facts and evidence. Oh no sorry, didn’t get bogged down with those… Or post any, or even a differing opinion. Just the snide of… Did you by chance drop out of school?