Sorry. I’m not even going to watch that. Let me know once this graph starts making a steady downward movement. Then I might believe we are making progress.
Exactly. And when you look at warming trends, we just went completely off the reservation, BEYOND the worst-case-scenario path. Humanity and science are very much in uncharted territory at this moment, and indications are that we will get shockingly close to +3℃ by about 2035… yes, we are now seeing an unprecedented and terrifying acceleration in warming.
So what does +3℃ entail?
Think lethally high wet bulb temperatures striking most regions between the Tropic of Cancer and the Tropic of Capricorn, where 4B people live. Not constantly lethal wet bulb temps, but frequently enough and for long enough that it becomes a “migrate or die” proposition. For FOUR BILLION people.
Think chaotic weather, bringing either too much or too little precipitation to the entire planet, when over 80% of all agriculture is absolutely dependent on getting the correct amount of rainfall at the right time. Extremely conservative projections are seeing up to 2B - one quarter of the world’s population - starving to death before 2040. And that’s just in the equatorial belts, where food insecurity is highest.
And those are just two of the high notes. We have additional calamities that have become foregone conclusions, such as the collapse of the AMOC - with a “most likely” date by the 2050s - that will plunge most of Northern Europe into a deep freeze and play additional havoc with weather around the planet as it whiplashes into a “new normal” over a decade or three.
I thought that most of the plunge of modern civilization would occur after I die of old age. Even with a functional healthcare system I will be lucky to make it to 2045, much less later. But with America in the active process of collapsing, and threatening to export it’s madness and chaos to other countries like Canada, it looks like I’ll have a front-row seat after all.
Wow, it’s been a while since I’ve heard someone spout this much hopium and half-truths.
2.1C by 2100?? That’s just delusional. We’ll hit that by 2035 at the latest.
Please find a better source for global warming information. Perhaps start with Hansen.
Yeah, I agree that 2.1C would be kind of ridiculous, unless some magical technology rolls out pretty darn soon or all governments hit all of their goals (extraordinarily unlikely.) But given that a few decades ago we thought we were going for 4 degrees, 2.5-3.5 (Which he did say was most likely) is a great deal of improvement.
I love how the graphs overlap up to our current time but it optimistically looks for it to diverge starting basically just now but we won’t really be able to tell till like 2050 once we have enough of a significant deviation to maybe see we are on a better track. We have done stuff but I would not call it a lot. I would call it rather minimal.
Simon Clark is great, really well produced and entertaining videos. I think he goes a little overboard with the relentless optimism in this one but it’s worth watching anyway.
